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positive_eps_streak on JPMORGAN CHASE & CO (JPM)

SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 19617 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on JPM

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-132026-02-13+1.51%-1.61%-5.42%
FY20242025-02-142025-02-14+1.21%-5.51%-15.42%-4.32%+13.93%
FY20232024-02-162024-02-16+0.39%+2.42%+7.61%+13.21%+52.43%
FY20222023-02-212023-02-21-0.77%+2.66%-6.50%-0.07%+34.86%
FY20212022-02-222022-02-22-2.09%-10.15%-6.09%-20.34%-5.00%
FY20202021-02-232021-02-23+1.76%-0.40%-0.76%+7.60%+3.24%
FY20192020-02-252020-02-25+0.30%-7.37%-29.96%-26.91%+25.89%
FY20182019-02-262019-02-26-0.12%-1.12%-5.10%+6.06%+23.82%
FY20172018-02-272018-02-27-1.58%-1.87%-7.83%-3.66%-8.78%
FY20162017-02-282017-02-28+3.29%+0.87%-2.23%-4.87%+30.32%
FY20152016-02-232016-02-23+0.04%+5.49%+7.34%+14.96%+66.85%
FY20142015-02-242015-02-24+0.53%+1.89%-0.59%+10.03%-5.17%
FY20132014-02-202014-02-20+0.05%-1.55%+4.39%-6.83%+6.63%
FY20122013-02-282013-02-28-0.02%+3.50%-2.98%+10.38%+19.37%
FY20112012-02-292012-02-29+2.88%+1.81%+17.92%-12.86%+28.81%
FY20102011-02-282011-02-28-2.33%-3.21%-1.56%-8.83%-13.68%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/19617/financials