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positive_eps_streak on Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)

SIC 2080 — Beverages · CIK 1418135 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on KDP

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-242026-02-24-2.84%-4.71%-15.53%
FY20242025-02-252025-02-25-3.43%-3.84%-3.18%-3.21%-10.47%
FY20232024-02-222024-02-22-0.59%-1.51%-2.60%+11.91%+18.17%
FY20222023-02-232023-02-23-0.89%-4.24%-5.54%-11.35%-16.19%
FY20212022-02-242022-02-24+4.50%+5.35%+1.66%-5.18%-1.41%
FY20202021-02-252021-02-25-1.10%+0.06%+11.92%+17.94%+21.18%
FY20192020-02-272020-02-27-1.27%-4.39%-12.22%-3.21%+10.46%
FY20182019-02-282019-02-28+3.38%+5.53%+11.21%+16.78%+13.24%
FY20172018-02-142018-02-14+0.52%-0.09%+2.05%+4.38%+55.33%
FY20162017-02-142017-02-14-0.27%+1.28%+3.93%-1.73%+26.59%
FY20152016-02-232016-02-23+0.63%+0.67%-2.39%+0.32%+4.77%
FY20142015-02-192015-02-19+0.77%-0.04%-2.09%-0.41%+18.61%
FY20132014-02-202014-02-20+0.52%+0.35%+2.87%+12.02%+57.35%
FY20122013-02-212013-02-21+0.78%+2.47%+8.04%+16.69%+25.65%
FY20112012-02-222012-02-22-0.03%-2.13%+0.16%+5.95%+13.44%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1418135/financials