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positive_eps_streak on KENNAMETAL INC (KMT)
SIC 3541 — Machine Tools, Metal Cutting Types · CIK 55242 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on KMT
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-08-12 | 2025-08-12 | +4.22% | +2.18% | +1.60% | +22.55% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-08-12 | 2024-08-12 | +1.54% | +4.86% | +1.08% | +10.38% | -8.84% |
| FY2023 | 2023-08-09 | 2023-08-09 | -0.04% | -4.98% | -6.63% | -14.50% | -7.41% |
| FY2019 | 2019-08-13 | 2019-08-13 | -4.99% | -1.53% | +16.14% | +13.42% | +8.84% |
| FY2014 | 2014-08-13 | 2014-08-13 | +0.68% | +4.99% | +2.47% | -6.60% | -27.04% |
| FY2013 | 2013-08-13 | 2013-08-13 | -2.83% | -4.02% | +1.25% | +2.40% | -5.13% |
| FY2012 | 2012-08-13 | 2012-08-13 | -2.79% | +0.89% | +5.44% | -4.54% | +19.91% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.