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positive_eps_streak on LKQ CORP (LKQ)

SIC 5010 — Wholesale-Motor Vehicles & Motor Vehicle Parts & Supplies · CIK 1065696 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on LKQ

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-192026-02-19+1.73%-2.66%-13.96%
FY20242025-02-202025-02-20-3.02%+0.29%-1.15%+3.40%-17.51%
FY20232024-02-222024-02-22+0.62%+0.83%+2.68%-12.77%-17.62%
FY20222023-02-232023-02-23+2.24%+3.43%-4.35%+0.05%-4.80%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25-2.25%-5.90%-4.12%+3.68%+21.67%
FY20202021-02-262021-02-26+2.39%+6.52%+8.53%+27.57%+22.47%
FY20192020-02-272020-02-27-0.47%-5.01%-25.13%-14.74%+32.54%
FY20182019-03-012019-03-01+1.01%-1.69%+2.01%-5.39%+7.48%
FY20172018-02-282018-02-28-0.25%-1.22%-5.02%-23.83%-29.53%
FY20162017-02-272017-02-27-0.03%-0.89%-6.96%-1.01%+24.50%
FY20152016-02-252016-02-25+1.48%+5.98%+8.54%+13.23%+14.88%
FY20142015-03-022015-03-02+0.44%-3.38%+0.68%+16.28%+14.99%
FY20132014-03-032014-03-03+2.55%-0.83%-5.18%+1.80%-10.29%
FY20122013-03-012013-03-01+1.13%+4.85%+4.85%+23.15%+36.03%
FY20112012-02-272012-02-27+1.92%-0.85%-0.32%+10.44%+33.69%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1065696/financials