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positive_eps_streak on Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)
SIC 8200 — Services-Educational Services · CIK 1434588 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on LOPE
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-18 | -7.86% | -6.49% | -2.25% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-19 | 2025-02-19 | +1.77% | -2.52% | -7.36% | +6.37% | -14.51% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-13 | 2024-02-13 | +1.81% | -1.06% | +2.10% | +14.60% | +41.05% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-16 | 2023-02-16 | +3.01% | +0.09% | -4.58% | -5.64% | +13.02% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-16 | 2022-02-16 | +3.65% | +9.00% | +20.17% | +10.39% | +48.97% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-17 | 2021-02-17 | +3.81% | +4.67% | +6.55% | -9.55% | -22.52% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-20 | 2020-02-20 | +2.01% | -0.35% | -25.83% | +16.61% | +34.28% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-20 | 2019-02-20 | +21.40% | +17.61% | +16.06% | +18.58% | -15.37% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-21 | 2018-02-21 | +8.49% | +6.78% | +14.81% | +19.80% | +27.69% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-16 | 2017-02-16 | +6.71% | +5.49% | +20.82% | +34.97% | +62.38% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-17 | 2016-02-17 | +13.71% | +14.15% | +24.53% | +23.82% | +72.47% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-18 | 2015-02-18 | +3.41% | +2.27% | +0.77% | -6.01% | -15.77% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-20 | 2014-02-20 | +0.98% | +4.92% | +5.88% | -1.42% | +2.06% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-19 | 2013-02-19 | +3.21% | -6.89% | -6.18% | +22.57% | +76.33% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.