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positive_eps_streak on Mastercard Inc (MA)
SIC 7389 — Services-Business Services, NEC · CIK 1141391 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-11 | -1.86% | -3.20% | -7.47% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-12 | 2025-02-12 | +0.30% | -0.23% | -7.93% | +0.88% | -7.66% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-13 | 2024-02-13 | +1.03% | -0.31% | +3.29% | -0.94% | +23.35% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-14 | 2023-02-14 | -0.09% | -4.05% | -5.91% | +3.79% | +28.16% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-11 | 2022-02-11 | +1.19% | +0.05% | -11.14% | -11.90% | +0.67% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-12 | 2021-02-12 | +0.06% | -0.10% | +11.95% | +7.93% | +8.97% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-14 | 2020-02-14 | +0.09% | -4.77% | -30.88% | -20.07% | +0.61% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-13 | 2019-02-13 | -0.33% | -0.56% | +4.07% | +12.35% | +53.07% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-14 | 2018-02-14 | +1.26% | +0.25% | +4.89% | +12.23% | +29.46% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-15 | 2017-02-15 | -0.33% | +0.98% | +2.74% | +7.02% | +60.41% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-12 | 2016-02-12 | +1.52% | +3.45% | +4.69% | +15.25% | +28.59% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-13 | 2015-02-13 | +0.44% | +4.57% | +1.80% | +6.22% | -0.38% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-14 | 2014-02-14 | +0.13% | -1.85% | +0.57% | -3.16% | +13.81% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-14 | 2013-02-14 | +0.19% | +0.32% | -0.53% | +6.57% | +48.86% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-16 | 2012-02-16 | +0.72% | +5.71% | +6.87% | +5.49% | +30.80% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.