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positive_eps_streak on Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

SIC 2000 — Food and Kindred Products · CIK 1103982 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on MDLZ

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-042026-02-04+1.53%+3.48%-2.05%
FY20242025-02-052025-02-05+0.70%+5.52%+16.25%+18.79%+7.81%
FY20232024-02-022024-02-02-2.00%-4.81%-6.97%-5.84%-23.26%
FY20222023-02-032023-02-03+0.39%-0.62%-0.35%+18.38%+16.80%
FY20212022-02-042022-02-04+0.69%-0.48%-6.70%-2.94%-0.57%
FY20202021-02-052021-02-05-0.34%-1.81%-1.89%+8.63%+21.82%
FY20192020-02-072020-02-07+0.53%+1.74%-8.05%-13.70%-2.32%
FY20182019-02-082019-02-08+1.17%+2.69%+0.47%+9.34%+28.32%
FY20172018-02-092018-02-09+0.93%+4.75%+5.34%-7.95%+15.50%
FY20162017-02-242017-02-24-3.55%-3.64%-3.48%+2.05%+0.57%
FY20152016-02-192016-02-19-0.28%+2.21%+2.34%+12.32%+8.60%
FY20142015-02-202015-02-20+0.05%-0.08%-6.03%+8.66%+9.08%
FY20132014-03-032014-03-03+1.51%+3.79%+2.64%+11.11%+10.17%
FY20122013-02-252013-02-25+1.74%+6.76%+12.80%+18.08%+30.95%
FY20112012-02-272012-02-27+0.24%+1.16%+1.90%+3.15%+12.44%
FY20102011-02-282011-02-28-0.91%-1.60%-1.16%+10.53%+23.44%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1103982/financials