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positive_eps_streak on Medtronic plc (MDT)
SIC 3845 — Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus · CIK 1613103 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MDT
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-06-20 | 2025-06-20 | -0.44% | +0.46% | +4.75% | +10.00% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-06-20 | 2024-06-20 | +1.83% | -1.05% | +0.02% | +13.40% | +11.00% |
| FY2023 | 2023-06-22 | 2023-06-22 | +0.08% | -0.73% | +1.77% | -5.27% | -4.93% |
| FY2022 | 2022-06-23 | 2022-06-23 | +1.75% | +1.22% | +2.31% | +1.14% | +1.43% |
| FY2021 | 2021-06-25 | 2021-06-25 | -0.95% | +1.52% | +2.51% | +2.33% | -25.76% |
| FY2020 | 2020-06-19 | 2020-06-19 | -0.62% | -4.85% | +2.61% | +15.30% | +36.68% |
| FY2019 | 2019-06-21 | 2019-06-21 | -0.22% | -2.00% | +2.43% | +10.63% | -4.05% |
| FY2018 | 2018-06-22 | 2018-06-22 | -0.08% | -1.38% | +2.69% | +12.25% | +15.87% |
| FY2017 | 2017-06-27 | 2017-06-27 | +0.57% | +0.65% | -2.93% | -9.96% | -1.52% |
| FY2016 | 2016-06-28 | 2016-06-28 | +1.56% | +4.45% | +4.49% | +4.89% | +8.41% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.