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positive_eps_streak on MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI)
SIC 7389 — Services-Business Services, NEC · CIK 1099590 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MELI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | -1.52% | +0.07% | -7.25% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-21 | 2025-02-21 | -1.62% | -6.11% | -7.29% | +14.09% | -14.93% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-23 | -1.18% | -1.02% | -3.52% | +9.72% | +34.88% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | +1.37% | +0.44% | -10.98% | -24.96% | -4.59% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-02-24 | +0.21% | +2.39% | +1.48% | +32.62% | +89.36% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | +4.31% | +11.60% | +18.10% | +35.50% | +114.34% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +1.78% | -1.35% | -6.12% | +11.37% | -22.03% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +3.46% | -2.07% | -6.77% | -19.52% | +31.87% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | -0.02% | +6.07% | +12.96% | +37.01% | +22.34% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | -3.75% | -7.96% | +0.71% | -24.12% | -14.89% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.