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positive_eps_streak on MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC. (MOH)
SIC 6324 — Hospital & Medical Service Plans · CIK 1179929 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MOH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-10 | 2026-02-10 | -2.22% | +13.70% | +17.04% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-11 | 2025-02-11 | -2.38% | +5.03% | +15.35% | +19.34% | -53.60% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-13 | 2024-02-13 | +1.43% | +1.19% | +2.68% | -11.23% | -30.95% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-13 | 2023-02-13 | -0.49% | -2.24% | -12.77% | -2.43% | +33.60% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-14 | 2022-02-14 | +3.99% | +0.06% | +6.59% | -6.17% | -4.42% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-16 | 2021-02-16 | +0.68% | +4.51% | +8.55% | +19.30% | +42.74% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-01 | 2017-03-01 | +1.19% | -1.86% | -8.58% | +35.79% | +45.51% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | -0.99% | +2.03% | +1.01% | -25.36% | -22.12% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-26 | 2015-02-26 | -0.11% | -2.34% | +0.91% | +11.37% | -1.73% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-26 | 2014-02-26 | -0.16% | +0.53% | +1.84% | +11.38% | +70.25% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | +0.63% | +3.17% | -3.26% | +18.33% | +18.08% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.