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positive_eps_streak on Morningstar, Inc. (MORN)

SIC 6282 — Investment Advice · CIK 1289419 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on MORN

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-132026-02-13-1.07%-1.96%+14.14%
FY20242025-02-282025-02-28-2.14%-7.35%-5.61%-1.34%-41.46%
FY20232024-02-292024-02-29-0.11%+4.07%+3.28%-0.20%+0.69%
FY20222023-02-242023-02-24+0.25%+1.92%-9.51%-2.87%+43.53%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25-0.34%-5.12%-4.84%-12.08%-25.92%
FY20202021-02-262021-02-26+2.70%+5.54%+0.96%+5.62%+26.18%
FY20192020-03-022020-03-02-2.97%-12.06%-21.49%-2.73%+54.79%
FY20182019-03-012019-03-01-0.80%-4.33%+0.55%+8.28%+20.21%
FY20172018-03-012018-03-01+0.72%+2.55%+3.29%+27.59%+35.67%
FY20162017-03-012017-03-01-0.61%-1.40%-3.43%-8.57%+15.54%
FY20152016-03-012016-03-01-0.57%+1.34%+9.64%+5.24%+2.24%
FY20142015-02-272015-02-27+0.33%-1.69%+0.99%+3.24%+7.43%
FY20132014-02-282014-02-28-1.48%-1.69%-7.76%-15.75%-9.55%
FY20122013-02-282013-02-28+0.28%+0.86%+1.95%+0.23%+22.89%
FY20112012-02-242012-02-24-0.28%-0.35%+1.75%-6.65%+14.93%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1289419/financials