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positive_eps_streak on MSA Safety Inc (MSA)
SIC 3842 — Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies · CIK 66570 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MSA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-12 | -0.30% | -2.71% | -12.51% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | +0.91% | +1.57% | -3.93% | +1.74% | +27.83% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-02-16 | -0.64% | +2.40% | +2.62% | +6.22% | -9.85% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-16 | 2023-02-16 | +0.62% | -3.51% | -7.30% | +3.01% | +28.71% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-18 | 2022-02-18 | -1.43% | -0.80% | -1.93% | -11.60% | -3.35% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | +1.22% | -5.28% | -6.15% | -0.24% | -18.98% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-20 | 2020-02-20 | -0.38% | -6.48% | -17.72% | -13.32% | +29.92% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-22 | 2019-02-22 | -0.60% | -1.39% | -4.42% | +0.78% | +25.94% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-22 | 2018-02-22 | +1.27% | -1.30% | -1.67% | +10.85% | +27.43% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +1.65% | -1.94% | -4.26% | +11.23% | +13.74% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +1.90% | +5.68% | +13.76% | +11.45% | +69.39% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-25 | 2015-02-25 | +2.38% | +0.41% | +1.60% | -5.74% | -8.47% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-24 | 2014-02-24 | -0.43% | +0.33% | +10.10% | -1.17% | -1.73% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-20 | 2013-02-20 | -0.96% | -3.78% | +1.08% | +1.79% | +8.72% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-22 | 2012-02-22 | +2.07% | -0.78% | +9.58% | +13.42% | +30.88% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.