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positive_eps_streak on MSCI Inc. (MSCI)

SIC 7389 — Services-Business Services, NEC · CIK 1408198 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on MSCI

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-062026-02-06+0.29%-5.32%+1.59%
FY20242025-02-072025-02-07+0.71%-0.85%-5.58%-5.61%-9.87%
FY20232024-02-092024-02-09-0.38%-3.73%-4.48%-20.21%-2.23%
FY20222023-02-102023-02-10+2.32%-0.58%-3.60%-13.71%+5.91%
FY20212022-02-112022-02-11-0.24%-1.17%-14.24%-27.07%+6.19%
FY20202021-02-122021-02-12+1.41%-4.70%-3.33%+8.91%+23.71%
FY20192020-02-182020-02-18+1.53%-8.00%-21.08%+2.82%+35.42%
FY20182019-02-222019-02-22+0.56%+7.37%+8.30%+26.02%+73.14%
FY20172018-02-262018-02-26-1.09%+1.05%+9.87%+8.65%+26.78%
FY20162017-02-242017-02-24-0.01%-0.10%+1.99%+4.30%+52.99%
FY20152016-02-262016-02-26-2.68%-4.09%-1.50%+5.61%+33.50%
FY20142015-03-022015-03-02-0.43%-3.32%+5.82%+9.21%+25.83%
FY20132014-02-282014-02-28+1.08%+4.67%-3.66%-0.69%+32.66%
FY20122013-03-012013-03-01-0.36%+1.61%+1.03%+6.15%+33.84%
FY20112012-02-292012-02-29+0.42%-1.64%+4.75%-4.78%-7.04%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1408198/financials