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positive_eps_streak on Meritage Homes CORP (MTH)
SIC 1531 — Operative Builders · CIK 833079 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MTH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-13 | -0.56% | -4.71% | -20.43% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | -0.55% | -1.47% | -3.07% | -6.38% | +6.09% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-14 | 2024-02-14 | +0.90% | -1.26% | +0.04% | +16.76% | -2.93% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-15 | 2023-02-15 | -2.10% | -3.95% | -2.90% | +11.94% | +34.07% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-16 | 2022-02-16 | -2.10% | -0.13% | +1.32% | -11.46% | +16.50% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-12 | 2021-02-12 | -3.03% | -5.81% | +3.75% | +29.79% | +5.53% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-18 | 2020-02-18 | -0.11% | -4.10% | -52.60% | -25.07% | +16.94% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-15 | 2019-02-15 | +1.88% | +2.28% | -3.37% | +16.92% | +60.24% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-12 | 2018-02-12 | -0.11% | +1.76% | +1.87% | -2.20% | -2.95% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-17 | 2017-02-17 | +0.29% | +4.83% | +11.71% | +19.91% | +35.43% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-17 | 2016-02-17 | -1.31% | +3.67% | +14.79% | +9.70% | +12.62% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-17 | 2015-02-17 | +1.37% | +4.33% | +2.15% | +1.09% | -27.79% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.