← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · MTN (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN)
SIC 7990 — Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation · CIK 812011 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MTN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-09-29 | 2025-09-29 | +1.02% | +5.32% | +8.20% | -2.38% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-09-26 | 2024-09-26 | -3.91% | -7.39% | -9.49% | -0.66% | -16.15% |
| FY2023 | 2023-09-28 | 2023-09-28 | -8.40% | -12.80% | -12.90% | -6.45% | -25.00% |
| FY2022 | 2022-09-28 | 2022-09-28 | +1.55% | +7.35% | +4.34% | +16.00% | +9.26% |
| FY2021 | 2021-09-23 | 2021-09-23 | +7.37% | +1.93% | +5.96% | -1.43% | -35.12% |
| FY2020 | 2020-09-24 | 2020-09-24 | +0.46% | -4.07% | +8.27% | +22.29% | +56.91% |
| FY2019 | 2019-09-26 | 2019-09-26 | +2.91% | -0.73% | +1.90% | +7.98% | +0.53% |
| FY2018 | 2018-09-28 | 2018-09-28 | -3.19% | -8.56% | -12.80% | -22.61% | -14.26% |
| FY2017 | 2017-09-28 | 2017-09-28 | +2.85% | -2.39% | +2.26% | -2.51% | +26.45% |
| FY2016 | 2016-09-26 | 2016-09-26 | +0.04% | +0.67% | +2.60% | +3.86% | +47.44% |
| FY2015 | 2015-09-28 | 2015-09-28 | -1.74% | +2.74% | +11.11% | +22.23% | +54.79% |
| FY2014 | 2014-09-24 | 2014-09-24 | -0.08% | -0.94% | -3.24% | +5.66% | +25.24% |
| FY2013 | 2013-09-27 | 2013-09-27 | -0.30% | -1.42% | +4.79% | +8.56% | +25.24% |
| FY2012 | 2012-09-25 | 2012-09-25 | +0.21% | +0.19% | +0.80% | -3.87% | +23.59% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.