← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · MUR (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR)
SIC 1311 — Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · CIK 717423 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MUR
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | +1.21% | +8.06% | +26.85% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-27 | 2025-02-27 | -0.86% | -9.58% | +6.66% | -20.68% | +36.99% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | -3.50% | -4.50% | -7.92% | -14.94% | -64.46% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | -0.27% | +0.84% | +5.69% | +2.68% | -15.24% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | -0.79% | +1.07% | +4.68% | +1.64% | +15.22% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | -1.24% | -7.85% | -12.51% | -26.78% | -0.23% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-28 | 2011-02-28 | -0.92% | -0.12% | -2.26% | -8.07% | -10.26% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.