← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · MUSA (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)
SIC 5500 — Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations · CIK 1573516 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MUSA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-18 | +1.34% | -1.59% | +18.29% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | -3.11% | -0.06% | -4.67% | -0.49% | -14.44% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-02-16 | +1.13% | +3.59% | +3.95% | +7.47% | +16.24% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-15 | 2023-02-15 | +1.66% | -0.63% | -7.31% | +6.12% | +49.14% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-17 | 2022-02-17 | +1.09% | -0.13% | +7.36% | +41.51% | +49.80% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | +0.84% | +0.12% | +10.27% | +16.30% | +46.81% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-18 | 2020-02-18 | +0.13% | -6.22% | -2.24% | -0.03% | +17.33% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-19 | 2019-02-19 | +2.41% | -0.21% | +5.45% | +8.26% | +37.31% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-20 | 2018-02-20 | -0.39% | -0.40% | -3.32% | -7.31% | +5.23% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-22 | 2017-02-22 | -1.51% | -1.37% | +7.12% | +1.67% | +12.80% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | -0.33% | +3.94% | -3.04% | +2.94% | +6.17% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +1.66% | -2.35% | +0.24% | -17.52% | -10.28% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.