← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · MWA (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA)
SIC 3490 — Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products · CIK 1350593 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on MWA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-19 | +0.65% | +5.01% | +7.52% | +29.48% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-11-20 | 2024-11-20 | +0.60% | +0.56% | -7.86% | +6.95% | -3.64% |
| FY2023 | 2023-12-14 | 2023-12-14 | -5.49% | -3.86% | -6.03% | +5.71% | +68.60% |
| FY2022 | 2022-11-18 | 2022-11-18 | +2.12% | +0.88% | -3.97% | +22.76% | +17.54% |
| FY2021 | 2021-11-19 | 2021-11-19 | +0.41% | -4.11% | -8.21% | -12.56% | -19.18% |
| FY2020 | 2020-11-19 | 2020-11-19 | +0.25% | +2.71% | +2.71% | +6.38% | +25.56% |
| FY2019 | 2019-11-20 | 2019-11-20 | -0.64% | +3.12% | +7.97% | +14.25% | +10.48% |
| FY2018 | 2018-11-21 | 2018-11-21 | -0.48% | -1.05% | -14.04% | +4.23% | +6.13% |
| FY2017 | 2017-11-21 | 2017-11-21 | +1.24% | +3.06% | +3.96% | -7.26% | -12.02% |
| FY2016 | 2016-11-22 | 2016-11-22 | +1.18% | -2.07% | +2.15% | -4.29% | -8.03% |
| FY2015 | 2015-11-24 | 2015-11-24 | +1.31% | +1.31% | -2.84% | -6.54% | +50.84% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.