← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NBHC (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC)
SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 1475841 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NBHC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-24 | 2026-02-24 | +1.99% | +1.21% | -3.60% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | -0.26% | -3.29% | -5.29% | -11.25% | +1.06% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-27 | 2024-02-27 | -0.33% | +3.24% | +5.47% | +11.05% | +29.20% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-28 | 2023-02-28 | -0.17% | -4.10% | -16.97% | -23.27% | -13.61% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-23 | 2022-02-23 | -3.46% | -2.56% | -8.61% | -12.37% | -6.55% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-24 | 2021-02-24 | +1.56% | +1.28% | +1.15% | +3.02% | +16.35% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | -3.29% | -4.75% | -33.31% | -23.00% | +23.82% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -1.81% | -5.81% | -7.61% | +0.42% | -9.70% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | -1.06% | +2.16% | -0.36% | +17.30% | +11.50% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-02-24 | +0.30% | -0.12% | -3.78% | -6.35% | +2.46% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +1.14% | +3.52% | +4.14% | +9.05% | +72.16% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.