← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NBTB (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on NBT BANCORP INC (NBTB)
SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 790359 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NBTB
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +1.02% | -1.70% | -1.16% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -0.21% | -6.48% | -9.11% | -10.12% | -6.87% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | -0.09% | +2.44% | +6.66% | +7.59% | +35.71% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-01 | 2023-03-01 | -0.99% | -4.60% | -14.34% | -13.77% | -11.42% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-01 | 2022-03-01 | +3.22% | +0.70% | +0.86% | -1.29% | +10.19% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-01 | 2021-03-01 | -0.84% | +10.11% | +8.03% | +4.10% | +6.52% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-02 | -2.61% | -15.46% | -9.19% | -6.04% | +6.92% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -1.39% | -4.89% | -7.36% | -4.30% | -5.83% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | +1.74% | +3.51% | +1.11% | +9.32% | +12.13% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-01 | 2017-03-01 | -2.90% | -4.87% | -11.22% | -12.90% | -13.69% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +3.22% | +5.47% | +5.04% | +13.22% | +60.67% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | -1.20% | -0.41% | +4.13% | +3.07% | +13.58% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +2.95% | +4.36% | +4.53% | -2.06% | +5.97% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | +0.83% | +6.65% | +6.85% | +1.13% | +18.71% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-29 | 2012-02-29 | +0.09% | -3.48% | +2.66% | -7.06% | -1.72% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.