← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NCLH (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)
SIC 4400 — Water Transportation · CIK 1513761 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NCLH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-02 | -4.10% | -6.63% | -20.42% | — | — |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | +7.25% | -17.70% | -54.78% | -59.99% | -14.91% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | +1.11% | +0.36% | -1.78% | +1.15% | -36.74% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | +1.12% | -0.48% | -6.04% | -6.08% | -1.32% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-27 | 2017-02-27 | -0.14% | -1.99% | +0.49% | -2.34% | +10.83% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +2.40% | +1.12% | +4.34% | -2.69% | +3.20% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +3.04% | +1.46% | +9.12% | +10.58% | -0.39% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.