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positive_eps_streak on NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO (NFG)
SIC 4924 — Natural Gas Distribution · CIK 70145 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NFG
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-11-21 | 2025-11-21 | -0.51% | +2.60% | +2.52% | +11.84% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-11-22 | 2024-11-22 | -0.37% | -2.29% | -6.01% | +15.13% | +30.62% |
| FY2023 | 2023-11-17 | 2023-11-17 | -0.92% | -0.47% | -0.55% | -5.56% | +25.78% |
| FY2019 | 2019-11-15 | 2019-11-15 | -0.04% | -1.39% | +1.55% | -5.24% | -4.05% |
| FY2014 | 2014-11-21 | 2014-11-21 | -0.36% | -0.77% | -1.03% | -3.93% | -32.27% |
| FY2013 | 2013-11-22 | 2013-11-22 | -0.03% | -0.68% | +4.87% | +12.09% | +4.52% |
| FY2012 | 2012-11-21 | 2012-11-21 | +1.28% | +0.99% | +3.77% | +13.01% | +33.60% |
| FY2011 | 2011-11-23 | 2011-11-23 | -0.15% | +7.96% | +2.79% | -8.99% | -0.99% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.