← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NFLX (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on NETFLIX INC (NFLX)
SIC 7841 — Services-Video Tape Rental · CIK 1065280 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NFLX
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-01-23 | 2026-01-23 | -0.49% | -3.05% | -11.73% | +7.50% | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-01-27 | 2025-01-27 | -0.01% | +0.73% | +0.55% | +7.99% | -12.91% |
| FY2023 | 2024-01-26 | 2024-01-26 | +0.94% | -1.01% | +3.02% | +1.29% | +71.48% |
| FY2022 | 2023-01-26 | 2023-01-26 | -1.12% | +0.55% | -13.08% | -9.83% | +57.81% |
| FY2021 | 2022-01-27 | 2022-01-27 | -0.61% | +4.89% | +1.06% | -45.72% | -8.69% |
| FY2020 | 2021-01-28 | 2021-01-28 | -1.15% | +2.52% | +0.05% | -5.25% | -28.20% |
| FY2019 | 2020-01-29 | 2020-01-29 | +1.33% | +7.73% | +8.32% | +23.85% | +56.95% |
| FY2018 | 2019-01-29 | 2019-01-29 | +3.58% | +8.18% | +10.33% | +11.99% | +4.34% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-05 | 2018-02-05 | +4.51% | +1.45% | +27.91% | +23.24% | +38.52% |
| FY2016 | 2017-01-27 | 2017-01-27 | -0.86% | -1.54% | +0.67% | +6.82% | +99.78% |
| FY2015 | 2016-01-28 | 2016-01-28 | -2.72% | -4.98% | +0.40% | -0.90% | +50.88% |
| FY2014 | 2015-01-29 | 2015-01-29 | -0.45% | +1.15% | +7.01% | +27.55% | +44.86% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-03 | 2014-02-03 | +0.38% | +6.44% | +12.51% | -20.36% | +12.99% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-01 | 2013-02-01 | +6.03% | +9.81% | +9.96% | +31.11% | +145.38% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-10 | 2012-02-10 | -4.54% | -1.68% | -14.31% | -41.27% | +50.30% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-18 | 2011-02-18 | -5.91% | -12.25% | -9.63% | +0.61% | -50.15% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.