← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NGVC (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC)
SIC 5411 — Retail-Grocery Stores · CIK 1547459 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NGVC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-12-11 | 2025-12-11 | -2.75% | -4.24% | -3.25% | -5.63% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-12-12 | 2024-12-12 | -3.18% | -9.73% | -10.14% | -15.63% | -41.06% |
| FY2023 | 2023-12-07 | 2023-12-07 | -0.95% | -1.19% | -4.82% | -3.82% | +155.50% |
| FY2022 | 2022-12-08 | 2022-12-08 | -1.73% | -7.14% | -2.96% | +14.70% | +83.05% |
| FY2021 | 2021-12-09 | 2021-12-09 | -0.16% | +6.49% | +13.84% | +55.34% | -22.55% |
| FY2020 | 2020-12-10 | 2020-12-10 | -4.83% | -10.43% | +0.99% | +18.33% | -7.16% |
| FY2019 | 2019-12-05 | 2019-12-05 | +2.74% | +6.68% | +8.00% | -19.27% | +80.09% |
| FY2018 | 2018-12-06 | 2018-12-06 | -0.89% | -0.33% | -10.58% | -26.89% | -47.37% |
| FY2017 | 2017-12-07 | 2017-12-07 | -2.71% | -1.18% | -0.71% | -13.68% | +103.77% |
| FY2016 | 2016-12-08 | 2016-12-08 | +3.51% | +3.18% | +2.18% | -9.04% | -30.96% |
| FY2015 | 2015-12-10 | 2015-12-10 | -0.45% | +1.39% | +2.73% | +2.92% | -38.70% |
| FY2014 | 2014-12-11 | 2014-12-11 | -1.44% | +0.57% | -0.80% | +10.07% | -23.64% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.