← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NHC (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP (NHC)
SIC 8051 — Services-Skilled Nursing Care Facilities · CIK 1047335 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NHC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | +2.08% | +4.94% | +0.69% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | +0.23% | -0.36% | -0.16% | +12.85% | +87.15% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-02-16 | +4.61% | +5.76% | -1.71% | +5.50% | +5.60% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-17 | 2023-02-17 | +0.91% | -3.25% | -4.14% | +0.66% | +75.28% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-18 | 2022-02-18 | +0.58% | +1.66% | +11.90% | +10.51% | -6.19% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | +3.02% | +6.69% | +19.77% | +14.05% | +1.13% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-21 | 2020-02-21 | -5.82% | -11.30% | -16.42% | -21.82% | -17.10% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-20 | 2019-02-20 | +1.73% | -1.96% | -3.68% | -3.51% | +3.81% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-20 | 2018-02-20 | +0.43% | +4.78% | +6.67% | +12.12% | +48.13% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-15 | 2017-02-15 | +0.68% | +1.63% | +1.12% | -1.35% | -12.97% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-19 | 2016-02-19 | -0.47% | +5.01% | -0.73% | +3.28% | +22.13% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-20 | 2015-02-20 | +0.85% | -0.25% | +1.58% | -0.48% | -0.15% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-21 | 2014-02-21 | -0.32% | +2.51% | +8.10% | +8.11% | +29.79% |
| FY2012 | 2013-08-23 | 2013-08-23 | -0.36% | -1.79% | +4.30% | +6.65% | +23.20% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.