← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NHI (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on NATIONAL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI)
SIC 6798 — Real Estate Investment Trusts · CIK 877860 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NHI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | -4.12% | -4.13% | -5.58% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | -0.17% | +2.37% | +3.53% | +3.60% | +29.12% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-20 | 2024-02-20 | +6.61% | +10.54% | +15.20% | +27.04% | +36.45% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-21 | 2023-02-21 | -6.73% | -4.84% | -11.51% | -6.01% | +6.74% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-22 | 2022-02-22 | -1.25% | -0.26% | +7.81% | +7.30% | +10.04% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-22 | 2021-02-22 | -2.85% | -1.13% | +4.89% | -2.70% | -17.04% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-19 | 2020-02-19 | +1.55% | -0.19% | -62.19% | -45.31% | -17.14% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-19 | 2019-02-19 | -2.07% | -1.07% | -2.72% | -0.29% | +16.36% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-16 | 2018-02-16 | -2.13% | +0.88% | +4.73% | +7.40% | +26.59% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-17 | 2017-02-17 | +0.30% | +0.93% | -4.63% | +2.49% | -8.96% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-18 | 2016-02-18 | +1.75% | +6.64% | +11.60% | +19.52% | +32.40% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-17 | 2015-02-17 | +1.17% | +0.79% | -1.62% | -7.02% | -14.67% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-18 | 2014-02-18 | +0.66% | +0.87% | +1.14% | +2.53% | +24.46% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-25 | 2013-02-25 | +1.16% | +3.38% | +1.44% | +13.31% | -0.17% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-15 | 2012-02-15 | -1.87% | -1.44% | -0.41% | +2.04% | +43.45% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.