← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NHTC (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on NATURAL HEALTH TRENDS CORP (NHTC)
SIC 5190 — Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods · CIK 912061 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NHTC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-02-21 | 2025-02-21 | -1.04% | +1.46% | +7.31% | -0.09% | -19.29% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | +2.46% | +1.15% | +9.20% | +18.83% | -4.91% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-03 | 2023-03-03 | -3.91% | -7.47% | -12.10% | +3.47% | +24.79% |
| FY2018 | 2019-04-26 | 2019-04-26 | +5.07% | +2.40% | -4.27% | -39.41% | -57.22% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-27 | 2018-03-27 | -0.11% | -0.21% | -1.79% | +37.19% | -21.44% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-10 | 2017-03-10 | +2.16% | -2.34% | +2.99% | +3.29% | -28.76% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-04 | 2016-03-04 | -6.26% | -0.59% | +0.56% | -7.64% | -9.96% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-06 | 2015-03-06 | +6.33% | +6.77% | +24.43% | +117.59% | +95.06% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-07 | 2014-03-07 | +5.19% | -0.43% | +5.95% | +62.85% | +261.42% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.