← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NKSH (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on NATIONAL BANKSHARES INC (NKSH)
SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 796534 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NKSH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-03-27 | +1.01% | +2.81% | — | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-28 | 2025-03-28 | -1.66% | -6.28% | -5.58% | +0.41% | +41.92% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-19 | 2024-03-19 | +0.27% | -1.23% | -13.50% | -8.69% | -14.21% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-10 | 2023-03-10 | -5.78% | -14.54% | -23.18% | -27.50% | -14.48% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-11 | 2022-03-11 | -0.57% | -2.14% | -3.14% | -8.23% | +11.41% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-18 | 2021-03-18 | +1.12% | -2.95% | -2.90% | +0.57% | +2.86% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-11 | 2020-03-11 | -5.33% | +15.33% | +4.17% | +14.88% | +34.16% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-13 | 2019-03-13 | +2.13% | +0.79% | +0.00% | -9.75% | -29.82% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-14 | 2018-03-14 | +0.12% | +3.29% | +5.05% | +13.09% | +6.79% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-08 | 2017-03-08 | -3.20% | -0.93% | +1.07% | +15.72% | +14.58% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-09 | 2016-03-09 | -2.01% | -0.96% | +2.04% | +0.81% | +12.77% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-11 | 2015-03-11 | +2.93% | +3.61% | +2.71% | +6.60% | +20.90% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-12 | 2014-03-12 | -0.25% | -0.25% | -2.32% | -9.41% | -18.56% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-26 | 2013-03-26 | -1.56% | -9.42% | -5.86% | -4.93% | +3.22% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.