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positive_eps_streak on NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/ (NOC)

SIC 3812 — Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys · CIK 1133421 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on NOC

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-01-272026-01-27+1.53%+3.87%+4.00%-13.14%
FY20242025-01-302025-01-30+0.81%-3.48%-4.47%+0.44%+44.18%
FY20232024-01-252024-01-25+0.78%+2.69%+6.55%+8.83%+13.87%
FY20222023-01-262023-01-26-1.31%-0.59%+6.57%+6.58%+0.46%
FY20212022-01-272022-01-27+1.66%-0.05%+9.98%+19.20%+19.17%
FY20202021-01-282021-01-28-2.19%+3.01%+0.01%+15.83%+29.91%
FY20192020-01-302020-01-30-2.68%-5.49%-14.25%-10.08%-24.28%
FY20182019-01-312019-01-31-0.94%+1.08%+4.59%+4.23%+38.10%
FY20172018-01-292018-01-29+0.33%-4.72%+4.53%-1.37%-15.70%
FY20162017-01-302017-01-30-0.17%+1.46%+7.67%+8.49%+50.08%
FY20152016-02-012016-02-01-0.64%-1.60%+3.21%+10.20%+23.43%
FY20142015-02-022015-02-02+0.81%+2.37%+3.22%+0.39%+19.92%
FY20132014-02-032014-02-03-2.16%+0.94%+10.28%+7.85%+44.78%
FY20122013-02-052013-02-05+0.49%+2.25%+0.97%+18.61%+76.58%
FY20112012-02-082012-02-08-0.48%-1.41%+0.62%+3.17%+13.10%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1133421/financials