← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · NPK (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on NATIONAL PRESTO INDUSTRIES INC (NPK)
SIC 3480 — Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) · CIK 80172 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on NPK
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-13 | +5.93% | -1.47% | +9.40% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-14 | 2025-03-14 | -0.29% | +0.42% | -5.58% | +11.92% | +52.51% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-15 | 2024-03-15 | -0.17% | +4.47% | +4.31% | -2.97% | +20.32% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-13 | 2023-03-13 | +2.54% | -1.48% | -4.07% | +10.82% | +9.95% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-11 | 2022-03-11 | +0.51% | -3.20% | -2.86% | -12.02% | +0.26% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-16 | 2021-03-16 | -0.10% | -3.94% | +4.87% | -1.17% | -17.66% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-11 | 2020-03-11 | -4.61% | -0.05% | +4.14% | +23.07% | +44.53% |
| FY2018 | 2019-11-15 | 2019-11-15 | -2.67% | -0.10% | -1.85% | +0.71% | +5.73% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-16 | 2018-03-16 | +2.15% | -2.77% | -1.95% | +32.07% | +16.76% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-16 | 2017-03-16 | +4.49% | +4.54% | +3.86% | +15.97% | +8.10% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-15 | 2016-03-15 | +0.23% | +5.24% | +3.54% | +13.26% | +22.77% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-16 | 2015-03-16 | +1.32% | +7.46% | +9.08% | +24.69% | +47.91% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-17 | 2014-03-17 | +0.90% | +0.86% | -6.40% | -12.06% | -21.54% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-18 | 2013-03-18 | -0.30% | -0.05% | -0.58% | -5.21% | +9.73% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.