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positive_eps_streak on NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS)

SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 73124 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on NTRS

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-242026-02-24+3.06%+0.59%-0.18%
FY20242025-02-242025-02-24-1.83%-3.03%-9.38%-4.13%+32.73%
FY20232024-02-272024-02-27-0.42%+4.13%+6.90%+3.55%+39.38%
FY20222023-02-282023-02-28-0.89%-2.78%-10.10%-24.50%-10.52%
FY20212022-02-282022-02-28-6.67%-8.61%+4.44%-6.20%-14.64%
FY20202021-02-232021-02-23+2.79%-0.26%+0.97%+21.12%+23.39%
FY20192020-02-252020-02-25-1.93%-8.44%-22.58%-17.15%+13.84%
FY20182019-02-262019-02-26+0.34%-0.03%-3.06%+1.11%-1.20%
FY20172018-02-272018-02-27-1.60%-0.81%-5.22%+0.63%-11.68%
FY20162017-02-282017-02-28+2.81%+1.63%-0.90%+1.66%+23.37%
FY20152016-02-292016-02-29+5.25%+11.61%+10.05%+23.02%+50.18%
FY20142015-02-262015-02-26-0.50%-0.53%-0.33%+8.17%-12.46%
FY20132014-02-262014-02-26+0.75%+1.17%+5.30%-1.76%+16.01%
FY20122013-02-262013-02-26+1.54%+3.60%+5.12%+10.37%+20.21%
FY20112012-02-242012-02-24+1.30%+2.44%+8.45%-0.61%+24.76%
FY20102011-02-252011-02-25-1.23%-1.47%-2.39%-6.53%-12.63%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/73124/financials