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positive_eps_streak on OLD NATIONAL BANCORP /IN/ (ONB)

SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 707179 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on ONB

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-192026-02-19+1.25%-1.04%-14.22%
FY20242025-02-192025-02-19-1.36%-3.70%-10.55%-7.57%+6.37%
FY20232024-08-152024-08-15+0.98%+1.30%+2.48%+19.36%+19.93%
FY20222023-02-222023-02-22+2.39%+0.45%-17.05%-25.25%-3.09%
FY20212022-02-102022-02-10+0.38%-5.07%-5.07%-16.70%+0.19%
FY20202021-02-102021-02-10-1.00%-1.22%+14.58%+9.09%+6.32%
FY20192020-02-122020-02-12+0.99%-0.11%-26.70%-25.38%+1.46%
FY20182019-02-122019-02-12+1.41%+5.11%+1.62%-0.15%+10.33%
FY20172018-02-152018-02-15+0.86%+0.29%+2.77%+0.75%+3.08%
FY20162017-02-162017-02-16+0.00%+0.00%-2.26%-10.07%-2.73%
FY20152016-02-262016-02-26-1.93%+5.54%+4.31%+11.86%+69.54%
FY20142015-02-252015-02-25+0.93%-0.29%-0.57%+0.07%-17.75%
FY20132014-02-252014-02-25+2.37%+7.23%+10.59%+1.62%+7.84%
FY20122013-02-262013-02-26+0.83%+3.15%+4.05%+0.60%+5.83%
FY20112012-02-272012-02-27-0.25%-2.38%+6.91%-4.28%+14.36%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/707179/financials