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positive_eps_streak on ONTO INNOVATION INC. (ONTO)
SIC 3829 — Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC · CIK 704532 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ONTO
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | +2.20% | -10.31% | -8.09% | -37.33% | +44.32% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-26 | 2024-02-26 | -0.27% | +7.88% | +2.16% | +27.74% | -19.36% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-02-24 | +2.32% | +6.91% | +6.85% | +24.66% | +124.46% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | -1.87% | -10.48% | +0.50% | -15.33% | -6.12% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | -2.94% | -5.75% | -9.13% | -12.03% | +34.28% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-25 | 2020-02-25 | -0.30% | -6.07% | -16.00% | +0.96% | +97.38% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-25 | 2019-10-28 | +0.00% | -6.74% | -4.64% | +9.11% | -8.69% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-26 | 2019-10-28 | +0.00% | -6.74% | -4.64% | +9.11% | -8.69% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-12 | 2019-10-28 | +0.00% | -6.74% | -4.64% | +9.11% | -8.69% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.