← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · ORLY (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC (ORLY)
SIC 5531 — Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores · CIK 898173 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ORLY
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +1.22% | +0.77% | -4.02% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | +0.17% | -3.98% | +2.54% | -0.89% | +2.51% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | -0.51% | -1.03% | +3.89% | -10.71% | +25.90% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-28 | 2023-02-28 | -0.71% | -0.17% | -0.15% | +11.91% | +31.00% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | +1.12% | +1.72% | +5.75% | -6.32% | +26.95% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-02-26 | +0.87% | +4.14% | +13.28% | +20.02% | +46.36% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +2.62% | -0.17% | -15.00% | +8.24% | +22.38% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | +1.09% | +1.20% | +5.14% | -0.49% | +0.68% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | -0.38% | -0.58% | -0.60% | +10.01% | +51.97% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | -0.07% | -0.70% | -0.74% | -11.67% | -10.13% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | -0.99% | +0.91% | +3.97% | -3.65% | +2.02% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +1.86% | -1.89% | +3.50% | +7.06% | +25.08% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | +0.19% | -0.25% | -1.94% | -2.60% | +40.54% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | +0.82% | +2.54% | +0.64% | +8.79% | +48.20% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | -0.96% | +2.30% | +4.50% | +10.75% | +17.49% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.