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positive_eps_streak on Otter Tail Corp (OTTR)
SIC 4911 — Electric Services · CIK 1466593 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on OTTR
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-18 | -0.16% | -1.64% | +0.59% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-19 | 2025-02-19 | +0.30% | -0.70% | +2.67% | -2.52% | +7.37% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-14 | 2024-02-14 | +3.52% | -1.36% | -7.01% | +6.16% | -4.56% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-15 | 2023-02-15 | +2.05% | +14.83% | +13.89% | +26.91% | +49.81% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-16 | 2022-02-16 | +2.03% | -0.50% | +0.33% | +2.52% | +19.02% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | -0.79% | -3.18% | +10.39% | +15.17% | +54.08% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-20 | 2020-02-20 | -1.09% | -10.26% | -22.78% | -30.24% | -22.54% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-22 | 2019-02-22 | +0.18% | +1.38% | -2.72% | +2.95% | +10.00% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-20 | 2018-02-20 | -0.97% | -1.45% | +4.35% | +6.25% | +24.31% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-22 | 2017-02-22 | +0.26% | +1.06% | -4.89% | -1.27% | +11.50% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | -0.80% | +1.61% | +7.13% | +8.32% | +42.53% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.