← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · PAA (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on PLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE LP (PAA)
SIC 4610 — Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) · CIK 1070423 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PAA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +2.10% | +5.60% | +7.32% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -1.92% | -4.87% | -0.64% | -15.16% | +14.67% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | +1.04% | +2.50% | +6.94% | +5.70% | +26.37% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | +0.96% | -3.25% | -56.20% | -26.51% | -31.51% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | +0.69% | +1.60% | +4.83% | +3.47% | -37.31% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | -1.54% | +3.73% | +0.84% | +14.16% | +14.69% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-23 | 2017-02-23 | +4.29% | +7.69% | +4.53% | -5.65% | -24.24% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-25 | 2016-02-25 | +1.29% | +7.14% | +3.67% | +22.51% | +62.98% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-25 | 2015-02-25 | -5.50% | -5.80% | -10.91% | -8.35% | -56.39% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | +0.37% | -1.18% | +0.90% | +3.80% | -4.67% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-27 | 2013-02-27 | +0.00% | -1.37% | +2.37% | +7.93% | +3.56% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | +0.94% | -2.88% | -3.19% | -2.77% | +39.24% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-25 | 2011-02-25 | +0.44% | +0.60% | -2.84% | -4.01% | +34.33% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.