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positive_eps_streak on Penumbra Inc (PEN)
SIC 3841 — Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · CIK 1321732 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PEN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | +0.97% | +0.28% | -0.71% | — | — |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | +1.78% | +3.38% | -14.40% | +2.57% | +65.82% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-26 | 2019-02-26 | -9.87% | -3.51% | +5.70% | -6.44% | +16.99% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | +3.74% | +11.17% | +10.98% | +49.90% | +28.16% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +6.12% | -3.19% | +6.05% | +9.31% | +40.89% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.