← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · PFS (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC (PFS)
SIC 6035 — Savings Institution, Federally Chartered · CIK 1178970 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PFS
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +2.19% | -0.57% | -2.14% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -0.22% | -5.75% | -6.47% | -6.19% | +23.32% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | +2.03% | +2.10% | -2.71% | +4.08% | +29.95% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-01 | 2023-03-01 | -0.17% | -3.49% | -16.00% | -29.07% | -32.02% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-01 | 2022-03-01 | +2.64% | -0.69% | +3.25% | -0.91% | +4.54% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-01 | 2021-03-01 | -1.75% | +14.58% | +6.66% | +19.40% | +19.90% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-02 | -1.48% | -16.44% | -36.69% | -28.69% | +2.90% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -1.34% | -3.55% | -6.26% | -11.30% | -21.29% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | +1.52% | +3.71% | +2.07% | +12.17% | +13.12% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-01 | 2017-03-01 | -1.88% | -4.09% | -7.19% | -10.84% | -4.12% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +1.88% | +5.06% | +8.55% | +9.23% | +47.58% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | -0.70% | -0.81% | +1.36% | +0.12% | +6.31% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +3.97% | +4.03% | +0.00% | -6.50% | +3.17% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | -0.13% | +2.05% | -0.79% | +5.12% | +25.79% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.