← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · PII (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Polaris Inc. (PII)
SIC 3790 — Miscellaneous Transportation Equipment · CIK 931015 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PII
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-02-18 | 2025-02-18 | +0.26% | +2.01% | -6.48% | -15.41% | +49.18% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-02-16 | +0.97% | -0.96% | -1.37% | -3.60% | -48.52% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-17 | 2023-02-17 | -2.38% | -3.78% | -9.37% | -13.37% | -20.30% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-15 | 2022-02-15 | +2.82% | -2.46% | -12.64% | -14.10% | -0.58% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-16 | 2021-02-16 | -1.31% | +2.73% | +15.10% | +10.37% | +1.29% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-14 | 2020-02-14 | -0.04% | -7.87% | -40.85% | -25.59% | +30.90% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-14 | 2019-02-14 | +1.59% | +2.01% | +2.00% | +1.54% | +13.02% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-15 | 2018-02-15 | -0.37% | -0.98% | +4.72% | -9.08% | -24.92% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-16 | 2017-02-16 | +0.80% | -0.21% | +3.63% | +2.83% | +39.53% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-19 | 2016-02-19 | +3.39% | +7.00% | +16.88% | -1.10% | +4.10% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-20 | 2015-02-20 | +0.03% | -1.11% | -7.60% | -8.49% | -42.02% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-21 | 2014-02-21 | +0.55% | +3.61% | +7.75% | -0.48% | +21.50% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | -0.69% | +1.63% | +5.86% | +5.43% | +55.75% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-27 | 2012-02-27 | +0.97% | -0.30% | +12.27% | +16.25% | +35.52% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.