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positive_eps_streak on PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG)
SIC 2650 — Paperboard Containers & Boxes · CIK 75677 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PKG
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | +0.13% | -2.42% | -7.76% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-27 | 2025-02-27 | +1.11% | -3.30% | -5.31% | -8.92% | +12.48% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | -0.55% | +2.01% | +5.46% | +2.12% | +14.47% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-23 | 2023-02-23 | +0.29% | +2.63% | -3.68% | -4.88% | +31.21% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-24 | 2022-02-24 | +2.49% | +1.82% | +5.48% | +2.79% | -2.82% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-24 | 2021-02-24 | +0.10% | +2.31% | -1.95% | +12.77% | +11.98% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | -2.43% | -0.31% | -14.47% | -0.46% | +46.44% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-28 | 2019-02-28 | +0.62% | +2.14% | +4.90% | -4.04% | -2.26% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | -0.51% | -1.02% | -6.24% | +2.78% | -17.07% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +1.43% | +0.02% | -1.08% | +10.70% | +32.03% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | +0.35% | +9.02% | +23.20% | +36.60% | +100.36% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +0.24% | -6.07% | -5.45% | -14.82% | -39.54% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | -0.04% | +1.81% | -4.87% | -6.51% | +16.51% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | -0.38% | +3.69% | +8.18% | +18.89% | +79.62% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-21 | 2012-02-21 | -1.63% | -0.54% | +2.31% | -5.31% | +46.95% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.