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positive_eps_streak on DOUGLAS DYNAMICS, INC (PLOW)
SIC 3531 — Construction Machinery & Equip · CIK 1287213 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PLOW
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-24 | 2026-02-24 | +3.90% | +1.87% | -3.16% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | +2.38% | -3.86% | -10.07% | +4.19% | +81.04% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-27 | 2024-02-27 | -3.54% | -3.04% | -7.26% | +1.57% | +10.43% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-09 | 2016-03-09 | +0.46% | +4.64% | +3.91% | +1.19% | +46.32% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-12 | 2015-03-12 | +5.57% | +5.90% | +6.60% | -0.85% | +7.61% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-11 | 2014-03-11 | +2.64% | +9.59% | +4.54% | +8.37% | +49.33% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-12 | 2013-03-12 | +0.91% | -1.32% | -1.11% | -2.81% | +26.92% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.