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positive_eps_streak on PROGRESS SOFTWARE CORP /MA (PRGS)

SIC 7372 — Services-Prepackaged Software · CIK 876167 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on PRGS

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20212022-01-272022-01-27+3.54%+0.93%+0.20%+9.20%+19.56%
FY20202021-01-272021-01-27-3.09%-2.29%+3.60%+10.24%+6.38%
FY20192020-01-272020-01-27+0.30%-1.04%-12.59%-18.11%-4.92%
FY20142015-01-292015-01-29-2.87%+0.70%+6.01%+1.40%+0.39%
FY20132014-01-292014-01-29+0.71%-0.79%+4.76%-8.48%+7.73%
FY20122013-01-292013-01-29-4.32%-4.36%-7.04%-11.07%-1.48%
FY20112012-01-302012-01-30-0.13%+1.11%-0.56%+0.47%+0.47%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/876167/financials