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positive_eps_streak on PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC (PROV)
SIC 6035 — Savings Institution, Federally Chartered · CIK 1010470 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PROV
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-08-29 | 2025-08-29 | +0.00% | +0.26% | +1.61% | -1.95% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-08-30 | 2024-08-30 | -0.56% | -1.18% | -0.07% | +11.71% | +12.61% |
| FY2023 | 2023-09-05 | 2023-09-05 | +0.55% | +0.08% | +2.12% | -9.79% | +14.91% |
| FY2022 | 2022-09-02 | 2022-09-02 | -1.40% | -1.05% | -0.07% | +2.75% | -6.65% |
| FY2021 | 2021-09-03 | 2021-09-03 | -2.17% | -2.34% | -4.00% | -4.23% | -16.50% |
| FY2020 | 2020-09-04 | 2020-09-04 | -1.38% | +0.00% | +2.20% | +16.31% | +44.30% |
| FY2019 | 2019-08-30 | 2019-08-30 | -1.73% | +1.39% | +2.77% | +11.47% | -38.90% |
| FY2018 | 2018-08-31 | 2018-08-31 | -2.07% | -2.12% | -1.25% | -4.51% | +14.33% |
| FY2017 | 2017-09-01 | 2017-09-01 | -0.21% | +3.63% | +5.00% | +2.02% | -2.18% |
| FY2016 | 2016-09-12 | 2016-09-12 | -1.77% | -2.23% | -2.28% | +2.93% | +2.63% |
| FY2015 | 2015-09-14 | 2015-09-14 | +2.11% | +5.15% | +0.56% | +15.47% | +23.54% |
| FY2014 | 2014-09-15 | 2014-09-15 | +1.06% | +1.00% | -4.32% | +3.96% | +12.67% |
| FY2013 | 2013-09-13 | 2013-09-13 | +0.83% | +0.50% | -9.89% | -17.89% | -14.55% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.