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positive_eps_streak on ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL)
SIC 4400 — Water Transportation · CIK 884887 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on RCL
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-11 | -0.28% | -7.01% | -19.73% | — | — |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-25 | 2020-02-25 | -8.05% | -12.69% | -61.13% | -54.07% | +9.01% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-22 | 2019-02-22 | -0.31% | -1.57% | -3.86% | +2.40% | -18.11% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-21 | 2018-02-21 | -0.73% | -3.03% | -5.03% | -17.36% | -5.24% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-23 | 2017-02-23 | +0.65% | +1.73% | +4.51% | +11.67% | +38.94% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-22 | 2016-02-22 | +0.39% | +0.88% | +6.12% | +3.16% | +31.79% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-23 | 2015-02-23 | +0.12% | +2.86% | +2.02% | +0.78% | -2.00% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-20 | 2014-02-20 | +0.97% | +3.80% | +5.98% | +1.52% | +50.80% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-25 | 2013-02-25 | +0.62% | +4.13% | -5.44% | +9.91% | +60.77% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-29 | 2012-02-29 | -1.02% | -3.83% | +4.07% | -14.32% | +24.90% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.