← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · RDN (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on RADIAN GROUP INC (RDN)
SIC 6351 — Surety Insurance · CIK 890926 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on RDN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-20 | 2026-02-20 | +3.64% | +4.40% | -1.80% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | -0.06% | -0.41% | -2.93% | +4.64% | +1.61% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-23 | +0.51% | +4.99% | +19.20% | +11.73% | +21.38% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-02-24 | -0.46% | +1.15% | -0.88% | +17.59% | +33.78% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | -0.08% | -0.21% | -4.18% | -12.25% | -7.20% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | -0.19% | +6.14% | -7.50% | -20.89% | +0.21% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-27 | 2017-02-27 | -0.11% | +0.27% | -4.72% | -10.88% | +12.26% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.