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positive_eps_streak on ROYAL GOLD INC (RGLD)
SIC 6795 — Mineral Royalty Traders · CIK 85535 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on RGLD
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-19 | +5.06% | +8.32% | -17.19% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-13 | 2025-02-13 | -4.34% | -3.28% | +0.46% | +11.62% | +83.57% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-15 | 2024-02-15 | -0.57% | -2.30% | +2.08% | +16.10% | +38.31% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-16 | 2023-02-16 | -0.67% | -5.07% | +2.19% | +12.18% | -11.51% |
| FY2021 | 2021-08-12 | 2021-08-12 | +1.96% | -3.66% | -4.56% | -7.35% | -8.54% |
| FY2015 | 2015-08-06 | 2015-08-06 | +2.07% | +7.81% | -5.88% | -2.22% | +72.96% |
| FY2014 | 2014-08-07 | 2014-08-07 | +1.21% | +2.67% | -6.23% | -26.83% | -35.07% |
| FY2013 | 2013-08-08 | 2013-08-08 | +3.25% | +16.89% | +6.65% | -8.32% | +52.92% |
| FY2012 | 2012-08-09 | 2012-08-09 | -1.67% | +1.04% | +17.77% | +14.46% | -25.25% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.