← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · SCVL (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL)
SIC 5661 — Retail-Shoe Stores · CIK 895447 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on SCVL
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-26 | 2026-03-26 | -2.50% | -2.62% | +15.04% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-21 | 2025-03-21 | +3.49% | +2.23% | -21.57% | -6.03% | -14.16% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-22 | 2024-03-22 | -2.18% | +1.90% | -6.97% | +3.46% | -38.53% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-24 | 2023-03-24 | +2.43% | +6.15% | +1.22% | -5.73% | +46.57% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-25 | 2022-03-25 | +0.07% | -4.65% | +0.70% | -21.64% | -16.85% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-26 | 2021-03-26 | +0.12% | +2.43% | +2.73% | +17.03% | +4.07% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-31 | 2020-03-31 | -20.27% | -9.11% | +18.48% | +36.63% | +201.91% |
| FY2018 | 2019-04-02 | 2019-04-02 | -3.21% | -0.50% | +9.99% | -17.20% | -48.37% |
| FY2017 | 2018-04-02 | 2018-04-02 | -3.55% | -0.03% | +4.70% | +42.80% | +40.17% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-29 | 2017-03-29 | -1.08% | -4.86% | +2.37% | -24.08% | -3.96% |
| FY2015 | 2016-04-04 | 2016-04-04 | -1.72% | -4.52% | -0.15% | -7.24% | -5.69% |
| FY2014 | 2015-04-16 | 2015-04-16 | -3.18% | -0.81% | -1.31% | +4.09% | -4.98% |
| FY2013 | 2014-04-10 | 2014-04-10 | -1.93% | +2.20% | +1.03% | -8.95% | +28.19% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.