← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · SFNC (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORP (SFNC)
SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 90498 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on SFNC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-02-27 | 2025-02-27 | +1.29% | -5.03% | -3.17% | -12.40% | -1.98% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-27 | 2024-02-27 | -0.68% | +3.72% | -2.01% | -4.55% | +20.27% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-27 | 2023-02-27 | -0.67% | -3.89% | -19.03% | -22.96% | -11.59% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | -0.31% | -3.15% | -3.45% | -11.57% | -19.72% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-25 | 2021-02-25 | -1.21% | +3.88% | +1.81% | +4.90% | -4.70% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | -4.25% | -5.15% | -14.54% | -28.08% | +36.52% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | -0.70% | -4.29% | -9.80% | -11.55% | -15.22% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | +0.70% | +6.15% | +0.67% | +10.56% | -3.21% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +3.65% | +2.26% | -4.10% | -10.22% | +0.77% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +5.05% | +9.35% | +10.48% | +15.58% | +42.29% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-16 | 2015-03-16 | -0.32% | +0.29% | -0.09% | +0.88% | +2.08% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-11 | 2014-03-11 | +0.54% | +2.17% | +2.07% | +14.24% | +18.63% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-12 | 2013-03-12 | +0.99% | +2.43% | -0.84% | +2.74% | +51.27% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.