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positive_eps_streak on STEVEN MADDEN, LTD. (SHOO)

SIC 3140 — Footwear, (No Rubber) · CIK 913241 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on SHOO

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-03-022026-03-02+0.67%-5.61%-7.95%
FY20242025-03-032025-03-03-3.28%-7.37%-11.87%-15.28%+21.89%
FY20232024-03-042024-03-04+0.51%-2.95%-2.43%+1.28%-29.86%
FY20192020-03-022020-03-02-1.53%-6.08%-29.69%-20.78%+9.15%
FY20182019-02-282019-02-28+1.55%-1.67%+3.54%-6.51%+0.72%
FY20172018-11-092018-11-09-0.96%-1.30%-8.82%+3.98%+35.46%
FY20162017-02-282017-02-28+1.61%+0.27%+2.41%+0.54%+17.54%
FY20152016-02-262016-02-26-1.68%-0.42%+0.56%-7.29%+5.17%
FY20142015-02-262015-02-26-0.71%-3.13%+2.04%+5.60%-2.64%
FY20132014-02-272014-02-27-0.33%-0.19%-3.12%-12.39%-0.16%
FY20122013-03-012013-03-01+0.44%+3.65%-1.31%+8.35%+24.54%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/913241/financials