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positive_eps_streak on SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC. (SPG)

SIC 6798 — Real Estate Investment Trusts · CIK 1063761 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on SPG

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-252026-02-25+0.80%+1.05%-8.62%
FY20242025-02-212025-02-21+0.46%+1.25%-10.71%-9.39%+13.98%
FY20232024-02-222024-02-22-0.77%-2.22%+4.17%-0.52%+27.53%
FY20222023-02-232023-02-23-0.38%+0.45%-15.04%-12.56%+30.15%
FY20212022-02-242022-02-24+1.36%+1.15%-4.38%-20.02%-5.59%
FY20202021-02-252021-02-25-1.65%-4.10%-1.03%+7.78%+25.39%
FY20192020-02-212020-02-21-1.03%-13.48%-66.16%-59.99%-16.32%
FY20182019-02-222019-02-22-0.18%-4.39%-3.28%-6.03%-19.04%
FY20172018-02-232018-02-23+1.54%-0.73%-3.15%+1.52%+22.49%
FY20162017-02-242017-02-24+1.11%-2.65%-8.87%-13.52%-9.57%
FY20152016-02-262016-02-26-0.35%+4.26%+6.65%+3.62%+1.28%
FY20142015-02-272015-02-27-0.17%-5.14%+2.05%-3.57%+3.07%
FY20132014-02-272014-02-27+0.57%+1.99%+0.62%+10.10%+29.98%
FY20122013-02-282013-02-28+0.71%+0.77%-0.19%+10.54%+4.60%
FY20112012-02-282012-02-28-0.60%+0.32%+6.10%+9.23%+20.66%
FY20102011-02-252011-02-25+2.86%-0.31%-2.19%+6.35%+31.73%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1063761/financials